Awards season runs from Venice in September to the 99th Oscars on March 14, 2027. Here is every date you need, the current Gold Derby frontrunners, and the three films Filmoiselle will be watching this fall. Updated all season.
If you want to follow awards season properly, you need the dates. Not just the Oscars — the whole calendar, from the fall festivals where contenders are born to the guild awards that predict what the Academy will do. Bookmark this page. We will be updating it all season.
Awards season does not start in January. It starts in September, on the Lido in Venice, in the mountains of Telluride, and in the cinemas of Toronto. These are the festivals where contenders premiere, where buzz is born, and where the conversation that ends at the Dolby Theatre in March actually begins.
Historically, Venice and TIFF have been the most reliable launch pads for Best Picture contenders. The Palme d'Or at Cannes earlier this year has already put certain films in the conversation. Pay close attention to what premieres at Venice and TIFF this year; those are the films that will dominate the rest of this calendar.
Every major date, in order:
One detail worth keeping in mind: the 2028 ceremony is the Oscars' 100th anniversary. The films of 2026 are competing in the final season before the centennial. That context will be in the room on March 14.
Gold Derby is one of the most reliable awards tracking platforms in the industry, aggregating predictions from film critics, industry experts, and passionate awards watchers to produce weighted odds across every major category. Here is where the 2027 Oscar race currently stands according to their data:
Best Picture: Digger leads at 87.7%, followed by Project Hail Mary at 83.7% and Wild Horse Nine at 82.0%.
Best Director: Alejandro G. Inarritu leads at 80.8%, Martin McDonagh at 78.3%, and Christopher Nolan at 73.9%.
Best Actor: Tom Cruise leads at 89.7%, John Malkovich at 88.0%, Matt Damon at 70.2%.
Best Actress: Julianne Moore leads at 95.5%, Sandra Huller at 69.7%, Olivia Wilde at 68.3%.
Best Supporting Actor: John Goodman leads at 89.1%, Paul Giamatti at 75.5%, John Leguizamo at 70.4%.
Best Supporting Actress: Penelope Cruz leads at 78.7%, Anne Hathaway at 73.2%, Mariana Di Girolamo at 63.8%.
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Invite at 94.5%, Project Hail Mary at 93.7%, La Bola Negra at 72.3%.
Best Original Screenplay: Digger at 87.6%, The Debut at 77.5%, Wild Horse Nine at 76.6%.
This is a snapshot as of mid-August 2026. Venice and TIFF will change this picture significantly. We will update this piece as the season develops.
Three films have our attention going into the fall.
The Odyssey — Christopher Nolan's epic already broke box office records, and Christopher Nolan sits third in the Best Director odds. A film of this scale and ambition does not get ignored by the Academy. We expect its presence in the conversation to grow significantly once the voting period opens.
Fjord — Sebastian Stan plays a deeply religious Romanian father in a film based on a true story, announced at Cannes 2026. Sebastian Stan is already in the Best Actor conversation, and this is the kind of performance, raw, specific, morally complex, that awards bodies respond to. One to watch closely.
The Debut — currently sitting at 77.5% in the Best Original Screenplay odds and 83.7% combined in Best Picture. Not the loudest film in the room but a consistent presence across multiple categories. That kind of broad support is exactly what wins the Oscars.
We will be sharing our full predictions piece very soon. Keep an eye on Filmoiselle.
